Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#109
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#126
Pace63.3#319
Improvement+4.6#22

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+3.8#68
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#308
Layup/Dunks-1.7#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#73
Freethrows-3.7#344
Improvement+4.8#14

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#112
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#134
Layups/Dunks+6.5#6
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#346
Freethrows+1.4#69
Improvement-0.2#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 22.0 - 4.02.0 - 5.0
Quad 39.0 - 6.011.0 - 11.0
Quad 46.0 - 0.017.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 110   @ SMU W 74-64 40%     1 - 0 +17.0 +11.7 +6.7
  Nov 15, 2018 249   @ Troy W 81-66 75%     2 - 0 +12.4 +14.5 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2018 189   North Florida L 48-64 72%     2 - 1 -17.8 -29.2 +12.5
  Nov 21, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 68-63 85%     3 - 1 -1.9 -9.8 +7.9
  Nov 28, 2018 214   South Alabama W 71-67 82%     4 - 1 -1.6 +1.0 -2.3
  Dec 15, 2018 88   @ Wichita St. L 60-63 34%     4 - 2 +5.5 -7.9 +13.5
  Dec 19, 2018 21   @ Kansas St. L 51-55 12%     4 - 3 +13.3 -4.6 +17.6
  Dec 21, 2018 226   @ South Dakota W 66-60 69%     5 - 3 +5.2 +0.2 +5.6
  Dec 29, 2018 144   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-71 50%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -10.6 -9.4 -2.3
  Jan 03, 2019 251   @ Rice L 65-73 75%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -10.6 -12.5 +2.2
  Jan 05, 2019 161   @ North Texas L 62-65 56%     5 - 6 0 - 3 -0.3 +0.6 -1.2
  Jan 10, 2019 239   Middle Tennessee W 77-70 86%     6 - 6 1 - 3 -0.3 +3.3 -3.4
  Jan 12, 2019 147   UAB W 73-68 71%     7 - 6 2 - 3 +3.6 +5.8 -1.7
  Jan 17, 2019 287   @ Charlotte W 63-60 79%     8 - 6 3 - 3 -1.3 -1.7 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2019 122   @ Old Dominion L 62-76 43%     8 - 7 3 - 4 -7.8 +2.8 -12.1
  Jan 24, 2019 117   Western Kentucky L 63-66 62%     8 - 8 3 - 5 -1.9 -6.3 +4.2
  Jan 26, 2019 171   Marshall W 101-51 77%     9 - 8 4 - 5 +46.6 +22.1 +23.8
  Jan 31, 2019 210   @ Florida International W 89-73 66%     10 - 8 5 - 5 +16.1 +10.0 +4.9
  Feb 02, 2019 165   @ Florida Atlantic W 74-72 58%     11 - 8 6 - 5 +4.3 +15.0 -10.4
  Feb 09, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech W 73-71 OT 70%     12 - 8 7 - 5 +0.8 -1.3 +2.1
  Feb 14, 2019 148   Texas San Antonio W 78-71 71%     13 - 8 8 - 5 +5.5 +4.6 +1.0
  Feb 16, 2019 290   UTEP W 77-47 90%     14 - 8 9 - 5 +19.9 +11.6 +10.7
  Feb 23, 2019 147   UAB L 72-76 OT 71%     14 - 9 9 - 6 -5.4 -0.3 -5.3
  Mar 03, 2019 117   @ Western Kentucky L 71-76 41%     14 - 10 9 - 7 +1.6 +10.8 -9.8
  Mar 06, 2019 122   @ Old Dominion W 59-52 43%     15 - 10 10 - 7 +13.2 +1.1 +13.2
  Mar 09, 2019 148   Texas San Antonio W 81-48 71%     16 - 10 11 - 7 +31.5 +5.2 +25.7
  Mar 14, 2019 171   Marshall W 82-73 68%     17 - 10 +8.4 +7.2 +1.3
  Mar 15, 2019 117   Western Kentucky L 59-70 52%     17 - 11 -7.2 -7.2 -0.6
Projected Record 17.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%